NEWS ANALYSIS Edo 2020: Will Obaseki fly on PDP wing?

NEWS ANALYSIS

Edo 2020: Will Obaseki fly on PDP wing?

By Dapo Falade

It is now apparently clear that Governor Godwin Obaseki of Edo State will have to look elsewhere if he truly wants to fulfil his second term ambition.

His party, the All Progressives Congress (APC) has finally shut its door against him.
Even before the door was finally shut against him, there were increased speculations making the rounds that the now embattled governor may look the way of the main opposition party in the state, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), as a possible fulfilment of his ambition.

Living up to public expectations, Obaseki was given the now famous Akinwunmi Ambode treatment as he, like the former Lagos State governor, was declared ‘unfit’ to fly the APC ticket for the September governorship election in Edo State.

After several weeks of brickbats, name-callings, accusations and counter-accusations, the APC leadership, on Friday, finally nailed the political coffin of Obaseki and put paid to his ambition to fly the party flagat the forthcoming governorship election.

Despite the clean bill of health given to him by the authorities of the University of Ibadan over alleged certificate scandal, the APC Screening Committee for Edo State governorship election found him unworthy to get a second term ticket.

The committee declared Governor Obaseki unqualified due to some alleged discrepancies in his educational certificates and the National Youth Service Youth (NYSC).
Others disqualified along with the governor were Honourable Matthew Iduoroyekemwen and Engineer Chris Ogiemwonyi.

Suprisingly, the screening committee cleared the immediate past chairman of the PDP in the state, Pastor Osagie Ize-Iyamu, former deputy governor Pius Odubu and Honourable Osaro Obazee.
While the clearance of Ize-Iyamu gave a further indication of his alliance with the APC national chairman, Adams Oshiomhole, the disqualification of Obaseki also fueled the rumor that he is on his way to the PDP camp.

See also  PRESS RELEASE Conduct credible, unbiased LG election, Makinde charges OYSIEC …inaugurates commission *'I won't interfere with your activities' Oyo State Governor, Engineer Seyi Makinde, on Thursday, inaugurated the Oyo State Independent Electoral Commission (OYSIEC), charging its members to deliver credible, free and fair local government election in the state. The governor stated that the commission, headed by Mr. Isiaka Olagunju, has been saddled with the responsibility of overseeing an election, which outcome will reflect the will of the people. He charged the commission to, within the shortest possible time, make the will of the people prevail by conducting a local government election that is unbiased. A statement by the Chief Press Secretary to Governor Makinde, Mr. Taiwo Adisa, indicated that the governor, while speaking at the Government House, Agodi, Ibadan, venue of the swearing-in, said his administration is ready to conduct the local government election, as it has allocated money for OYSIEC in the 2020 Budget. He promised that his administration would not interfere with the activities of the commission. He said: "I want to thank the House of Assembly for confirming you in a timely manner. I hope that you will also imbibe the sense of urgency and conduct credible local government election in Oyo State within the shortest possible time. “We knew this would come and we already allocated money in the Oyo State Budget for this year to conduct the election. Within the shortest possible time, please give us elected officials at the local government level that are known to the constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria." Governor Makinde, who said he has not yet indicated whether he will be running for another term in 2023 or not, as it is too early to be thinking of that for now, appealed to the opposition in the state not to overheat the polity. He urged politicians not to see elections as war or a do-or-die affair, but allow the will of people to prevail. "Some parties said they want to unseat me in 2023. It is okay, but I have not indicated the interest to run in 2023, as it is still too early. I may or may not. I have a second address and that is what we want to encourage in our space. “This board will have free hand. If they want to unseat me, it's fine; but they should contest and win many councillorship seats as much as possible so that we can know they are really serious. I will encourage them and others to contest in 2023. "Who knows who is going to be alive in the next hour? We are only sure of this moment. So, they should calm down. Elections should never be war or a do-or-die affair. Election in a democracy should be about the will of the people.” He added that members of the board are men and women of integrity with track records, admonishing them to do the work that will make people of the state proud of them. "I believe that the mandate of this board is to conduct an inclusive election. So, gone are the days when the governor of the state will manipulate matter so that some political parties will not field candidates. We are not here to play games. "So, I am saying to this board that the will of the people must remain sacrosanct. We have sent your names to the House of Assembly. We believe you are men and women of integrity. I have met one or two of you personally. It is not about the political party but the interest of the state and I believe the state will be proud of you,” he said. Speaking on behalf of the board members shortly after the swearing-in, the chairman, Oyo State Independent Electoral Commission, Mr. Olagunju, assured the people of the state that the board will conduct a credible and transparent local government election. He called on the people to have confidence and trust in the commission, adding that they will not be biased towards any political party and that the will of the people will prevail. Olagunju said: "The essence of inaugurating the board is to organise and manage local government election; that is our mandate and we have to follow it. "We were just inaugurated today. We need to go back to the office, see what is happening before we can talk about when to hold the election. It is possible this year but everything depends on the circumstances that we find ourselves when we get to the office. "When His Excellency was inaugurating the commission, he gave us the mandate that we must ensure that the will of the people prevail and that it is sacrosanct. So, we want to assure the people of Oyo State that we will conduct a transparent, credible and acceptable election. "I can also assure that people will have confidence and trust in the commission. It will be our joy that all political parties will participate in the election process. The governor has also said that we should not favour any party, because he is not in support of impartiality." The Board members include: Comrade Adeniji Babatunde, Alhaja Ganiyat Saka, Mr. Emmanuel Olanrewaju, Chief Kunmi Agboola, Mr. Aderemi Ayoade, Mr. Sunday Falana and Mr. Adeojo Elias. The swearing-in was attended by the Deputy Governor, Engr. Rauf Olaniyan; Secretary to the State Government, Mrs. Olubamiwo Adeosun; Chief of Staff, Chief Bisi Ilaka; Head of Service, Mrs. Ololade Agboola and other cabinet members, as well as chieftains of the PDP in the state, led by the chairman, Alhaji Kunmi Mustapha. Signed: Taiwo Adisa Chief Press Secretary to Governor Makinde September 3, 2020.

The governor has been variously reported to have been romancing the PDP leadership in the state as his next possible political nest, having fallen out of favour with his erstwhile political godfather, Oshiomhole.

While the Edo PDP leadership has never been categorical about Obaseki picking the party’s sole ticket for the governorship election, it has also not wavered in declaring that the PDP door was open to the embattled governor, if he so wished to join the party.

More so, while the governor was yet to openly declare his intention to seek for a renewal of his mandate through the PDP platform, his body language clearly indicated that he was on his way out of the APC, even before the red card was issued to him by the party.
Indication that Obaseki is in a hot romance with the Edo PDP, being the only virile opposition party in the state, can clearly be gleaned from the statement he issued shortly after he was screened out of contention in the APC.
Knowing that it would be an effort in futility should he seek to contest the decision of the APC screening committee, the out-of-favour governor, in the statement by his media aide, Crusoe Osagie, said it was needless to file an appeal when his main traducer, Oshiomhole, “had carefully orchestrated the move from the beginning.”
Calling on his supporters to wait for further directives from him, a realist Obaseki said: “We have watched the mockery of democratic process which Comrade Adams Oshiomhole is administering and superintending over in our great party, the APC. It has been an unfortunate, disheartening and dreadful spectacle.
“We had initially asserted that going by the open display and enthronement of illegality by one man in the party that comprises several organs and eminent personalities, there is no way that Governor Godwin Obaseki would get a fair assessment in the run-up to the nomination of candidates to fly the flag of the party in the forthcoming Edo governorship election.
“It is unfortunate that this open show of shame, illegality and travesty of justice is the brand of democracy which Comrade Oshiomhole has reduced the APC into. The situation is quite saddening because this is a party supposedly reputed for change, equity and social justice.
“We have therefore decided that it would be effort in futility to appeal whatever the unjust outcome of the evaluation and screening process of the APC will be, especially when Comrade Oshiomhole has declared that he is the Supreme Court and ultimate determiner of the fate and future of our great party.
“We wish Oshiomhole luck in his maladministration of the party and trust that the Almighty will help our country to find the path to true liberty, freedom and justice. We call on all party members and the teeming supporters of Governor Obaseki to remain calm and await further directives.”

Latest information has it that Governor Obaseki may have finally joined the PDP by obtaining the membership card of the party.
Though not yet confirmed, it was gathered that the governor would be moving into the main opposition party in the state, along with all the 18 APC local government chairmen, 12 lawmakers in the state House of Assembly, even as he is said to be set to receive the PDP governors this weekend.

The hours draw nearer, and the people await what would be the possible outcome of the political abracadabra playing out in the state, ahead the governorship election coming up in the state later in the year.
It is indeed a battle of wits between a godfather and his estranged godson.

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As the war rages, the question remains: Will Obaseki come out of the storm unscathed against the rampaging Oshiomhole or, like Ambode in Lagos, cave in and be subsumed in the murky waters of Edo politics  State?”

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